Decision Making · 3 min read · 26 April 2026

What Do You Do When the Path Isn't Clear?

GA
By Grant Ashfield

A wildlife tracker lives in an environment of constant uncertainty.  They commit anyway.

Watch a tracker work and you'll notice this at work. They squat down. They look at a print, then the bushes, then the sky. They lose the track. They double back. They find it again. They move on.

From the outside, it looks like indecision. It isn't. They are busy solving a complex puzzle through observation, pattern recognition, hypothesis testing and evidence based decision making. 

At work is a particular kind of disciplined attention - a way of holding uncertainty without freezing in it. We call it the Tracker's Mindset, and it turns out to be one of the most useful frames for modern leadership we've come across.

What the track teaches that the boardroom can't

In the bush, the information is incomplete by default. A track is half-faded. The wind is carrying noise from somewhere. The animal is moving. Conditions are changing. The tracker doesn't have the luxury of a complete picture, and they don't pretend to.

Compare this to most leadership meetings. We sit in conference rooms - climate-controlled, well-lit, surrounded by data. We pretend we can know enough to be sure. We reward the leader who speaks with the most certainty. We mistake confidence for competence.

The tracker knows better. Their craft has stripped away the illusion. The path isn't clear. It's never going to be. 

The question is what you do anyway.

Trackers reading sign in the bush

Three habits we see in every great tracker

1. They commit before they're certain

A tracker who waits for certainty never moves. So they make their best read of the sign and they commit - to a direction, to a pace, to an interpretation. They don't agonise. They go and then they adapt.

What they do that is different: they hold their commitment loosely. They're already watching for the next piece of sign that will confirm or contradict their read. The decision isn't a verdict. 

It's a hypothesis they're testing with their feet.

2. They tune into alarm calls

In the bush, every animal is constantly gathering information. When a bird suddenly changes its call or an impala begins snorting, experienced trackers pay attention. Alarm calls are not the threat itself-they are early warnings that something has changed.

Effective leaders develop the same discipline. They learn to recognise the subtle signals that precede bigger problems: the customer who suddenly becomes quieter, the high performer who seems disengaged, the meeting where difficult issues are no longer raised

The trackers we work with have learned that alarm calls are invitations to slow down, pay attention and ask, "What's going on here?" They are not reasons to panic. 

3. They are constantly learning

After every track - successful or not - a good tracker goes back over what happened. What sign did they read correctly? What did they miss? What was the alternative interpretation they discounted, and why? This isn't optional. It's the practice that makes them better.

Most teams skip the debrief. We close the deal, we ship the product, we end the meeting, and we move on. The Tracker's Mindset insists on a small ritual of reflection - and it compounds.

"Tracking is the science of finding what was, in order to predict what will be." — Louis Liebenberg

Why we built a leadership programme around this

You can't teach the Tracker's Mindset in a slide. 

You can describe it. You can list its principles. But to install it in a leadership team, people need to do it. They need to feel the discomfort of committing without certainty, the satisfaction of reading sign correctly, the humility of being wrong.

That's what Tracking Success is built around. We put your team in the footsteps of an expert tracking team and let them feel  what it means to lead when the path isn't clear. Then we connect every decision they made back to their actual work.

It's not a metaphor. It's a rehearsal.

← All Articles Book a Demo